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General => Philosophy => Topic started by: JohnCR on January 28, 2011, 01:05:00 AM

Title: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: JohnCR on January 28, 2011, 01:05:00 AM
I've been a happy atheist since I was 15, but I recently discovered determinism and the idea that we have no real free will. This disturbs me more than there being no afterlife, no purpose, and no God(s). The notion that we cannot change the future seems to bring new meaning to the word futility. It implies that laws and courts don't punish people for choices they make but for a state of being. However, those who make and carry out the laws also cannot help themselves because they had no free will either. Democracy seems pointless now. What does it matter if 100 million people vote if none of them were actually able to change the outcome of the election? Even now, as I am posting this, I am not choosing to do so. Either I will get past this disturbing concept or I won't. I have no real control in the outcome, and that is philosophically maddening to me.

I think I would be happier if I believed in free will again, but I have yet to hear any good arguments in favor of it. However, I don't want to delude myself into believing something that is false either. Those of you who agree with me and don't believe in free will, are you not bothered by having to pretend that it exists? Those who disagree with me, what are your arguments for free will?
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Whitney on January 28, 2011, 01:32:58 AM
I don't personally think we know enough about the universe to know that free will is an illusion.


btw, i think there is another thread on this topic but I forgot what it was called; perhaps someone else will link to it.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: The Magic Pudding on January 28, 2011, 03:46:02 AM
I don't think determinism is very helpful, it is just too big picture.
A omniscient being, (not necessarily a creator) should be able to predict your birth, that you'd kick your toe and what you'd say about it.
I don't know any omniscient beings, no one knows what you are going to do, so just do your best.

Here are some related posts.
http://www.google.com.au/search?q=free+ ... mages&tbs= (http://www.google.com.au/search?q=free+will+%22atomic+decay%22+site%3Ahttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.happyatheistforum.com&hl=en&num=10&lr=&ft=i&cr=&safe=images&tbs=)

Quote from: "JohnCR"It implies that laws and courts don't punish people for choices they make but for a state of being. However, those who make and carry out the laws also cannot help themselves because they had no free will either.

People do make choices, a burglar is punished and the choices of potential burglars are effected.
It's not like I want to punish the weather as lesson to other weather.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: JohnCR on January 28, 2011, 05:00:24 AM
Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"I don't think determinism is very helpful, it is just too big picture.
A omniscient being, (not necessarily a creator) should be able to predict your birth, that you'd kick your toe and what you'd say about it.
I don't know any omniscient beings, no one knows what you are going to do, so just do your best.

Here are some related posts.
http://www.google.com.au/search?q=free+ ... mages&tbs= (http://www.google.com.au/search?q=free+will+%22atomic+decay%22+site%3Ahttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.happyatheistforum.com&hl=en&num=10&lr=&ft=i&cr=&safe=images&tbs=)

Quote from: "JohnCR"It implies that laws and courts don't punish people for choices they make but for a state of being. However, those who make and carry out the laws also cannot help themselves because they had no free will either.

People do make choices, a burglar is punished and the choices of potential burglars are effected.
It's not like I want to punish the weather as lesson to other weather.

That's the thing, I don't think people do make choices, at least not free choices. I think there is only one choice people are capable of making in any given situation.

How is determinism not helpful? I'm not a complete determinist. I think quantum uncertainty gives us enough reason to doubt cause and effect on the molecular level, BUT I don't think that uncertainty translates into free will for humans.

I read the previous discussion. It didn't seem very helpful to be honest.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: dloubet on January 28, 2011, 07:47:18 AM
As far as we can tell, quantum events such as atomic decay are utterly Random. That's Random with a capital R. They are causeless.

This occurs in a universe that otherwise appears to operate according to strict, deterministic, physical law.

It is the universe's ability to accommodate random input that keeps it from being deterministic.

This implies that the future is not written in stone. The Random input to the clockwork universe means the future is open and not determined.

We may still be robots made of meat, devoid of free will, but at least our actions actually make a difference.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: ablprop on January 28, 2011, 02:15:56 PM
The essence of science is prediction -

snickelwort!

If you can't predict what's coming next . . .

pusilanimous!

then you have no standing to claim that it is pre-determined.

aardvark!

Try this. Ask yourself, "how would the universe be different if I did have free will?" If you can't find a single difference, then such a difference doesn't exist.

It's a very Einsteinian way of thinking. If no experiment can detect the ether, then there is no ether. If you can't detect a difference between gravity and acceleration, then there is no difference. If you can't detect the difference between free will and lack of free will, then there is no distinction.

Are you constrained? Then break your constraints! Sure, maybe that action was pre-determined, but such knowledge is far, far beyond our grasp, so it is EXACTLY as if you're making up as you go. We can't even predict the weather tomorrow with 100% accuracy, let alone predict what crazy thought will come from even a single human mind.

Rumplestiltskin!

Waponi Woo!

Walla Walla, Washington!

We're party crashers in this crazy universe, kids pretending to be adults. Enjoy the ride!
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: The Magic Pudding on January 28, 2011, 02:24:37 PM
Quote from: "ablprop"snickelwort!
pusilanimous!
aardvark!
Rumplestiltskin!
Waponi Woo!
Walla Walla, Washington!

Words of wisdom  :)
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 28, 2011, 03:12:19 PM
Quote from: "JohnCR"I've been a happy atheist since I was 15, but I recently discovered determinism and the idea that we have no real free will. This disturbs me more than there being no afterlife, no purpose, and no God(s). The notion that we cannot change the future seems to bring new meaning to the word futility. It implies that laws and courts don't punish people for choices they make but for a state of being. However, those who make and carry out the laws also cannot help themselves because they had no free will either. Democracy seems pointless now. What does it matter if 100 million people vote if none of them were actually able to change the outcome of the election? Even now, as I am posting this, I am not choosing to do so. Either I will get past this disturbing concept or I won't. I have no real control in the outcome, and that is philosophically maddening to me.

Hi, John. You have touched upon one of the great quandaries in thought, and one that has had many great thinkers wrestling with themselves. Perhaps I can allay some of your fears, but it may be apposite to give some thought to just what is meant by free will.

'Will' is the ability to choose between alternatives. Free will is, therefore, the ability to choose unconstrained between alternatives. This is an important distinction to be made, for reasons that should become clear in what follows.

Now, a deterministic universe would indeed cause problems for free will, but worse than that, it causes problems for will, free or otherwise. Thankfully, determinism, at least in the Laplacian sense (it was Pierre-Simon Laplce who is credited with the assertion that, given sufficient knowledge of the position and velocity of every particle in the universe at any one time, we could predict with certainty the positions and velocities of those particles at any future time), is ruled out. Firstly, quantum mechanics, and specifically Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, demonstrate that such knowledge cannot be attained. Indeed, the best models we have for quantum phenomena at the moment suggest that these parameters do not actually have values until observed, which is to say that any particle has no position or velocity until such time as its wavefunction is collapsed, the wavefunction essentially being a probabilistic treatment of given values for those parameters. Worse still, the more accurately we know one, the less accurately we can know the other.

There are other interesting phenomena that arise from QM concerning determinism, and one of them should be treated here, because it addresses why the universe seems deterministic. That phenomenon is, of course, radionuclide decay. Given an individual atom of a radioactive nuclide, it cannot be predicted when it will decay. This event is totally random which, in this context, simply means that its decay is statistically independent. Statistical independence is a very important principle to understand, as it is the most common treatment of 'random' in a scientific context. What it actually means is that an event A occuring at time t is equiprobable with occuring at any other time. There are other, related, definitions of random that are important to note here. The most important alternative treatment is 'containing variables too numerous for us to be able to make categorical predictions. It's important to note in what context the word is being used in any given instance, because it goes to the heart of what we actually understand.

Getting back to the radionuclide decay, we cannot say when a particular atom will decay, but when dealing with macroscopic agglomerations of said atoms, we can predict probabilistically how they will decay. We can say, for example, that a given sample will have decayed by 50% in a given span of time. We term this the half-life, and it follows a pattern that can be predicted with absolute accuracy, which is why we can use it for dating things, by measuring the ratio of parent to daughter isotopes. If you're interested, there's a really excellent article by the world-famous Calilasseia HERE (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/post14592.html#p14592), in which he delivers an exposé of radiometric dating and how we know what we know.

The important thing to note here is that this gives us a kind of semi-determinism, but the question is, is our will affected by this level of determinism?

There's another point to be made about the relationship between QM and determinism, in the form of a test of determinism. I'll allow the excellent and knowledgable susu.exp to explain:

Quote from: "susu.exp"Now, quantum physics has provided us with a means of testing determinism. To give an explanation let´s look at the Pauli principle first: two electrons in an orbital can not have the same spin number. One must have 1/2 and one -1/2. If we measure the spin in one direction they always come out different. So if we measure s1 in the x direction we know that s2 in the x direction is -1/2.
Now, let´s assume that at a time t these numbers would be fixed, so our electrons have spin numbers for 3 directions. Then we know that they must differ in each of them, so we either have (+,+,+) and (-,-,-) or (+,+,-) and (-,-,+) (for any sequence of y,x, and z direction). Now, we can think about the results we should obtain if we measure the spin number in any two directions. If the first "programming" is correct we will always find them differing. If the second one is correct, they will differ in 5/9 of the cases. Assuming that there is some program at work, but allowing for both types to be around, we will have them differing in at least 5/9 of the cases. So the proportion of differing measurements >=5/9: This is the Bell inequality and there are variations on this (you don´t have to use the spin of electrons, there are other similar options). Since the late 1970s experiments of this type have been carried out and they all show violations of the inequality. This means that there is no such "program" at work and this implies that whether the electrons comes out as +,- or -,+ when we measure them in the same direction is not only unknown to us before we measure them, but also to the electrons itself. The inderterminism is as real as it gets, because a prediction of determinism is the inequality given above and the violations falsify it.

http://www.rationalskepticism.org/gener ... ml#p682847 (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/general-science/is-the-existence-of-free-will-a-scientific-question-t18486-20.html#p682847)

Moving on, it is at least reasonably clear that our neural processes, through which we make our decisions, are at least somewhat governed by quantum processes, not least because our neural processes are electrochemical in nature, and electrons are similarly subject to quantum indeterminacy. So, do we have will? I would say almost certainly. Do we have free will? That's a different question, and one that has a conclusion that may surprise you.

Cali again (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/creationism/right-i-asked-this-before-but-the-more-i-think-about-it-the-t14175.html#p522088)

In short, I think that free will is an illusion, at least to the degree that our choices are entirely unconstrained, but I do think that we have will, with at least some freedom to choose, even if that freedom is somewhat curtailed by things we aren't even aware of, such as the above study illustrates.

QuoteI think I would be happier if I believed in free will again, but I have yet to hear any good arguments in favor of it.

I hope I've provided a good argument for at least some degree of free will, or at least against a deterministic universe. It should be noted that free will, while ruled out by determinism, is not actually ruled in by non-determinism

QuoteHowever, I don't want to delude myself into believing something that is false either.

TBH, I think you're overworrying at it. In reality, the question of whether or not we possess and freedom of will at all is quite probably unfalsifiable and unanswerable. All we can say for certain is that the universe is definitely not deterministic, so it looks as if we have some freedom of will.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Stevil on January 28, 2011, 08:11:18 PM
Quote from: "JohnCR"This disturbs me more than there being no afterlife, no purpose, and no God(s).

Are you sure you are an Atheist?
How can you find it disturbing that there are no gods?
Why do you desire a purpose? How come you find it disturbing that there isn't a predefined purpose for you?
Why do you desire a mythical afterlife? How does it disturb you that there isn't one?

BTW I believe there is no such thing as complete free will. You base your decisions on your experiences and your knowledge and your emotions and physical state. Your decisions aren't simply random. You don't have a soul that is independant of everything, which carries around a moral (values) structure to which your decisions are based.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 28, 2011, 09:54:29 PM
Of course we have free will.  You can decide to turn right, or turn left.  

But that's true only in the macro sense.  At the quantum level it's all deterministic.  (That depends on your definition of determinism.  If predictability is part of your definition, that doesn't seem to be the case, due to quantum uncertainty.)  So in a theoretical and intellectual sense, we don't have free will - but of course each of us can make his or her own decisions.

If you think of us human beings as relatively independent entities, we have free will - absolutely.  If you think of us human beings as colonies of trillions of cells, we don't.  For practical purposes, we do have free will.  Only a god or a computer bigger than the universe could collect the data and do the calculations to predict the future, even if quantum uncertainty turned out to be understandable to such a god or computer.  So don't sweat it.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 28, 2011, 10:54:33 PM
Quote from: "Wilson"But that's true only in the macro sense.  At the quantum level it's all deterministic.

Err, no. It's precisely at the quantum level that determinism is ruled out. Perhaps you didn't read the post above, or the posts that I linked to in that post.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: penfold on January 28, 2011, 11:59:01 PM
Personally I think the debate is rather overplayed. We simply could not operate without a notion of free will. No matter how much one may intellectually be a determinist, that is not how we experience the world. So why worry overmuch about it?

I would also add that there is a third category of systems, those which are deterministic but non-periodic (ie deterministic but necessarily unpredictable) - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaos_theory
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Sophus on January 29, 2011, 12:31:43 AM
Quote from: "Wilson"Of course we have free will. You can decide to turn right, or turn left.
I've never understood the "of course we have freewill" assertion. Freewill is not simply whether or not you can choose to turn left or right or anything it's the question of how much control you have over your decision making; your will.

Science seems to be showing is an illusion. Particularly this experiment (http://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2010/07/28/the-free-will-experiment/).

Quote from: "Jerry Coyne"First, they hooked up subjects to a functional MRI machine that recorded activity in various parts of the brain.  Then the subjects were presented with a computer screen on which a letter of the alphabet was flashed; these images changed every half second.  They also had two buttons, one under the index finger of each hand.

The subjects were asked to press a button with either hand, and also to remember the letter that was on the screen at the moment when they decided which button to press.  (They indicated this letter by pressing another button.)  Button presses took place about every 22 seconds, and left and right buttons were pressed with equal frequency. At the same time, the MRI showed the location of brain activity, which could be correlated with which button was subsequently pressed.

Here’s the surprising result: the brain activity that predicted which button would be pressed began a full seven seconds before the subject was conscious of his decision to press the left or right button. The authors note, too, that there is a delay of three seconds before the MRI records neural activity since the machine detects blood oxygenation.  Taking this into account, neuronal activity predicting which button would be pressed began about ten seconds before a conscious decision was made.

The earliest brain activity occurred in the frontopolar cortex (FPC) and subsequently moved into the parietal cortex, areas different from the SMA where Libet detected activity. Curiously, the brain activity determining when the button would be pushed was detectableâ€"5 seconds beforehandâ€"in the SMA, but the activity reflecting which button would be pushed occurred in the FPC. As the authors note, “there appears to be a double dissociation in the very early stages between brain regions shaping the specific outcome of the motor decision and brain regions determining the timing of a motor decision.”

The authors conclude:

Taken together, the two specific regions in the frontal and parietal cortex of the human brain had considerable information that predicted the outcome of a motor decision the subject had not yet consciously made.  . . Thus, a network of high-level control areas can begin to shape an upcoming decision long before it enters awareness.

This is dry scientific prose, but what it implies is that our decisionsâ€"certainly in the case of which button to pushâ€"appear to be made long before we’re conscious of making them.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 29, 2011, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: "Sophus"I've never understood the "of course we have freewill" assertion.

I always liked Hitch's treatment of it. 'Of course we have free will; we have no choice!' :D
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 29, 2011, 02:03:26 AM
Quote from: "hackenslash"Err, no. It's precisely at the quantum level that determinism is ruled out. Perhaps you didn't read the post above, or the posts that I linked to in that post.

Perhaps you didn't read the rest of that paragraph.  Some definitions of determinism don't imply predictability, just that each action is caused by preceding actions.  Besides, who knows whether there may be some underlying reality to quantum uncertainty that IS predictable, were it understood.  But it's not an important point; everything that an animal decides is the result of subatomic forces he has no control over, ultimately.  That's the important point.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: The Magic Pudding on January 29, 2011, 02:43:22 AM
So you are what you are because of past events, this doesn't bother me.
What you do is a result of what you are responding to the environment.
I don't think this means you don't own your actions, it doesn't matter how you got here, you are here.
So just use your free will, it doesn't belong to anyone else.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 29, 2011, 02:51:40 AM
Quote from: "Wilson"
Quote from: "hackenslash"Err, no. It's precisely at the quantum level that determinism is ruled out. Perhaps you didn't read the post above, or the posts that I linked to in that post.

Perhaps you didn't read the rest of that paragraph.  Some definitions of determinism don't imply predictability, just that each action is caused by preceding actions.  Besides, who knows whether there may be some underlying reality to quantum uncertainty that IS predictable, were it understood.  But it's not an important point; everything that an animal decides is the result of subatomic forces he has no control over, ultimately.  That's the important point.

Perhaps you didn't read my post in its entirety, because I pointed out that, as far as we can tell, the issue is not one of us not being able to predict these values, it's actually that those values don't exist until they are observed. In any event, determinism is falsified, as explained above, so it's a moot point.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 29, 2011, 03:01:37 AM
Quote from: "Sophus"I've never understood the "of course we have freewill" assertion. Freewill is not simply whether or not you can choose to turn left or right or anything it's the question of how much control you have over your decision making; your will.

Philosophically, scientifically, at the cellular level in our brains we don't have free will.  But tell an unenlightened slob, the common man, that he doesn't have free will and he'll laugh at you - and he'd be justified in doing so.  It's fine to have an intellectual discussion about free will, but a person can make decisions all day long that nobody can predict.  There's no question that past experience can nudge people in one direction or the other, but the individal's DNA and the configuration of neurons in his brain determine how he reacts to external stimuli.  How the brain reached that state is also beyond the control of that individual's "self", but in every meaningful way he has free will.

The practical implications of the question of free will are along this line: Is anyone responsible, ultimately, for what he does?  If not, are we justified in punishing him?  Are we justified in getting angry at someone?  If a ghetto kid robs a store and shoots the owner, should we forgive him his transgressions?  If a rich kid rapes a woman, should we forgive him his transgressions?  In my opinion, no; in order to have a civilized, safe, fair society, we need to punish.  We were given by evolution the gifts of anger and verngeance along with the gifts of compassion and a sense of fairness.  Those emotions are also beyond our control.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: LegendarySandwich on January 29, 2011, 04:27:39 AM
Quote from: "Wilson"
Quote from: "Sophus"I've never understood the "of course we have freewill" assertion. Freewill is not simply whether or not you can choose to turn left or right or anything it's the question of how much control you have over your decision making; your will.

Philosophically, scientifically, at the cellular level in our brains we don't have free will.  But tell an unenlightened slob, the common man, that he doesn't have free will and he'll laugh at you - and he'd be justified in doing so.  It's fine to have an intellectual discussion about free will, but a person can make decisions all day long that nobody can predict.  There's no question that past experience can nudge people in one direction or the other, but the individal's DNA and the configuration of neurons in his brain determine how he reacts to external stimuli.  How the brain reached that state is also beyond the control of that individual's "self", but in every meaningful way he has free will.

The practical implications of the question of free will are along this line: Is anyone responsible, ultimately, for what he does?  If not, are we justified in punishing him?  Are we justified in getting angry at someone?  If a ghetto kid robs a store and shoots the owner, should we forgive him his transgressions?  If a rich kid rapes a woman, should we forgive him his transgressions?  In my opinion, no; in order to have a civilized, safe, fair society, we need to punish.  We were given by evolution the gifts of anger and verngeance along with the gifts of compassion and a sense of fairness.  Those emotions are also beyond our control.
Why do we need to punish?
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 29, 2011, 07:23:52 AM
Quote from: "LegendarySandwich"Why do we need to punish?

If we don't, the sociopaths will have free rein to rape and pillage.  There are some really nasty customers out there.  Laws do deter a lot of bad behavior.

Also because it feels good to hurt evildoers.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: JohnCR on January 29, 2011, 07:28:42 AM
Quote from: "Stevil"
Quote from: "JohnCR"This disturbs me more than there being no afterlife, no purpose, and no God(s).

Are you sure you are an Atheist?
How can you find it disturbing that there are no gods?
Why do you desire a purpose? How come you find it disturbing that there isn't a predefined purpose for you?
Why do you desire a mythical afterlife? How does it disturb you that there isn't one?

BTW I believe there is no such thing as complete free will. You base your decisions on your experiences and your knowledge and your emotions and physical state. Your decisions aren't simply random. You don't have a soul that is independant of everything, which carries around a moral (values) structure to which your decisions are based.

I guess I phrased that poorly. To put it simply, I am NOT disturbed by those things. I was merely commenting that it seems like those would be the things to be bothered by, but I am not. I don't yearn for purpose or gods or an afterlife. Also, yes, I am sure that I am an atheist, because I do not believe in any sort of deities or any "supernatural" phenomenon to speak of.

Not having free will drives me crazy because it flies in the face of our society. We are judged based on our decisions, but our decisions are never ours to make. For example, my friends say I should choose a major in college, and I am reminded that I am not making a choice freely. Even if I am supposed to pretend free will exists, how am I supposed to make the choice to do so? It doesn't mean that I won't eventually pretend it, but it does make me pause when a fellow, er... nonbeliever in free will, suggests that I choose to not worry about it.


Quote from: "hackenslash"Hi, John. You have touched upon one of the great quandaries in thought, and one that has had many great thinkers wrestling with themselves. Perhaps I can allay some of your fears, but it may be apposite to give some thought to just what is meant by free will.

'Will' is the ability to choose between alternatives. Free will is, therefore, the ability to choose unconstrained between alternatives. This is an important distinction to be made, for reasons that should become clear in what follows.

Now, a deterministic universe would indeed cause problems for free will, but worse than that, it causes problems for will, free or otherwise. Thankfully, determinism, at least in the Laplacian sense (it was Pierre-Simon Laplce who is credited with the assertion that, given sufficient knowledge of the position and velocity of every particle in the universe at any one time, we could predict with certainty the positions and velocities of those particles at any future time), is ruled out. Firstly, quantum mechanics, and specifically Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, demonstrate that such knowledge cannot be attained. Indeed, the best models we have for quantum phenomena at the moment suggest that these parameters do not actually have values until observed, which is to say that any particle has no position or velocity until such time as its wavefunction is collapsed, the wavefunction essentially being a probabilistic treatment of given values for those parameters. Worse still, the more accurately we know one, the less accurately we can know the other.

There are other interesting phenomena that arise from QM concerning determinism, and one of them should be treated here, because it addresses why the universe seems deterministic. That phenomenon is, of course, radionuclide decay. Given an individual atom of a radioactive nuclide, it cannot be predicted when it will decay. This event is totally random which, in this context, simply means that its decay is statistically independent. Statistical independence is a very important principle to understand, as it is the most common treatment of 'random' in a scientific context. What it actually means is that an event A occuring at time t is equiprobable with occuring at any other time. There are other, related, definitions of random that are important to note here. The most important alternative treatment is 'containing variables too numerous for us to be able to make categorical predictions. It's important to note in what context the word is being used in any given instance, because it goes to the heart of what we actually understand.

Getting back to the radionuclide decay, we cannot say when a particular atom will decay, but when dealing with macroscopic agglomerations of said atoms, we can predict probabilistically how they will decay. We can say, for example, that a given sample will have decayed by 50% in a given span of time. We term this the half-life, and it follows a pattern that can be predicted with absolute accuracy, which is why we can use it for dating things, by measuring the ratio of parent to daughter isotopes. If you're interested, there's a really excellent article by the world-famous Calilasseia HERE (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/post14592.html#p14592), in which he delivers an exposé of radiometric dating and how we know what we know.

The important thing to note here is that this gives us a kind of semi-determinism, but the question is, is our will affected by this level of determinism?

There's another point to be made about the relationship between QM and determinism, in the form of a test of determinism. I'll allow the excellent and knowledgable susu.exp to explain:

Quote from: "susu.exp"Now, quantum physics has provided us with a means of testing determinism. To give an explanation let´s look at the Pauli principle first: two electrons in an orbital can not have the same spin number. One must have 1/2 and one -1/2. If we measure the spin in one direction they always come out different. So if we measure s1 in the x direction we know that s2 in the x direction is -1/2.
Now, let´s assume that at a time t these numbers would be fixed, so our electrons have spin numbers for 3 directions. Then we know that they must differ in each of them, so we either have (+,+,+) and (-,-,-) or (+,+,-) and (-,-,+) (for any sequence of y,x, and z direction). Now, we can think about the results we should obtain if we measure the spin number in any two directions. If the first "programming" is correct we will always find them differing. If the second one is correct, they will differ in 5/9 of the cases. Assuming that there is some program at work, but allowing for both types to be around, we will have them differing in at least 5/9 of the cases. So the proportion of differing measurements >=5/9: This is the Bell inequality and there are variations on this (you don´t have to use the spin of electrons, there are other similar options). Since the late 1970s experiments of this type have been carried out and they all show violations of the inequality. This means that there is no such "program" at work and this implies that whether the electrons comes out as +,- or -,+ when we measure them in the same direction is not only unknown to us before we measure them, but also to the electrons itself. The inderterminism is as real as it gets, because a prediction of determinism is the inequality given above and the violations falsify it.

http://www.rationalskepticism.org/gener ... ml#p682847 (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/general-science/is-the-existence-of-free-will-a-scientific-question-t18486-20.html#p682847)

Moving on, it is at least reasonably clear that our neural processes, through which we make our decisions, are at least somewhat governed by quantum processes, not least because our neural processes are electrochemical in nature, and electrons are similarly subject to quantum indeterminacy. So, do we have will? I would say almost certainly. Do we have free will? That's a different question, and one that has a conclusion that may surprise you.

Cali again (http://www.rationalskepticism.org/creationism/right-i-asked-this-before-but-the-more-i-think-about-it-the-t14175.html#p522088)

In short, I think that free will is an illusion, at least to the degree that our choices are entirely unconstrained, but I do think that we have will, with at least some freedom to choose, even if that freedom is somewhat curtailed by things we aren't even aware of, such as the above study illustrates.

QuoteI think I would be happier if I believed in free will again, but I have yet to hear any good arguments in favor of it.

I hope I've provided a good argument for at least some degree of free will, or at least against a deterministic universe. It should be noted that free will, while ruled out by determinism, is not actually ruled in by non-determinism

QuoteHowever, I don't want to delude myself into believing something that is false either.

TBH, I think you're overworrying at it. In reality, the question of whether or not we possess and freedom of will at all is quite probably unfalsifiable and unanswerable. All we can say for certain is that the universe is definitely not deterministic, so it looks as if we have some freedom of will.

I don't know if you read my second post on this thread, but I elaborated on my position to say that I am not a complete determinist. I have been convinced that quantum uncertainty disproves determinism absolutely running the universe. However, what I fail to see is how randomness translates into will. I understand this isn't really what you argued, having admitted yourself that it doesn't necessarily validate free will. We really have no disagreement about free will or even determinism. I just think it is disturbing to realize that we cannot even shape our own futures.

Someone tried to argue emergentism to me once, but I didn't see any evidence of free will in that argument either. Granted, I don't feel like I completely understood the argument he was making.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: dloubet on January 29, 2011, 09:34:18 AM
Quote from: "Wilson"but in every meaningful way he has free will.

No, he has will, but it's not in any way free. We are each born with a nature that we did not choose, and can only act according to that nature. We are trapped by the imposed  natures that define us. There's no way around it, and you can't second-guess it. You can't decide to change your nature without that being a consequence of...your nature.

Quote from: "Wilson"in order to have a civilized, safe, fair society, we need to punish.

We are robots. We take in data, and output actions. If one of the robots outputs actions that negatively impact the other robots, those robots may seek to adjust the output of the offending robot. Punishment is one way of reprogramming offending robots so that their output is more positive.

That's what we're doing, and it works to some degree. This is how punishment works without the invocation of responsibility. We like to justify our punishments with all sorts of fancy rationalizations about holding people responsible for their actions, but in the end it's simply a practical means of behavior modification.

We re-program the offending robots for the benefit of all.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Asmodean on January 29, 2011, 10:20:50 AM
Quote from: "Wilson"If we don't, the sociopaths will have free rein to rape and pillage.
They do it anyways. A law would not stop a sociopath, nor would fear of punishment.

QuoteThere are some really nasty customers out there.  Laws do deter a lot of bad behavior.
Laws prevent otherwise good guys from doing bad things. They do not prevent bad guys from doing them. At most, one can hope that the laws make it more difficult to commit crime, but one must not forget the ingenuity of a determined (would-be) criminal.

QuoteAlso because it feels good to hurt evildoers.
Making you no better than they. The lawful moral high ground based on crime and punishment is not really a high ground... You are sitting in a pile of dung. Just... Above theose who do not.

Disclaimer: do not read into my words that, which is not there, please. My view of usefulness of laws and punishment is far more complex than what you would be able to derive from these few lines.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 29, 2011, 01:10:04 PM
Quote from: "JohnCR"We really have no disagreement about free will or even determinism. I just think it is disturbing to realize that we cannot even shape our own futures.

Then we fundamentally disagree. I thought I'd made myself clear on this point, but apparently not. I think we certainly can shape our own futures, but not completely unconstrained.

QuoteSomeone tried to argue emergentism to me once, but I didn't see any evidence of free will in that argument either. Granted, I don't feel like I completely understood the argument he was making.

Emergentism is fairly straightforward, although I'm not sure what he meant when applying it to will. Emergence, put simply, is when a behaviour is displayed that is more than the sum of its parts. This is actually the rigorous definition of complexity, incidentally, contrary to popular usage. The universe is emergent, for example, as is life, evolution, etc. I don't see what he meant in terms of will, unless he was saying that our decisions are a product of our experiences, and are therefore emergent. That makes some sense, but doesn't really address will.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: The Magic Pudding on January 29, 2011, 01:17:13 PM
Quote from: "dloubet"
Quote from: "Wilson"but in every meaningful way he has free will.

No, he has will, but it's not in any way free. We are each born with a nature that we did not choose, and can only act according to that nature. We are trapped by the imposed  natures that define us. There's no way around it, and you can't second-guess it. You can't decide to change your nature without that being a consequence of...your nature.

We are conceived with a nature, develop it in utero, as children and so on, well what is the alternative, some angel touches you on the lip at birth and imbues with some godly purpose?  When determinism is used to make life seem constricted I have to reject it as dysfunctional.  I could toss a coin to decide between doing some volunteer work and joining a golf club, the different experiences would make a different me.  But of course the fall of that coin was predetermined.  Well fuck that, it sounds like some fantasy theist crap, I am here an I can make choices.

Quote from: "dloubet"We are robots. We take in data, and output actions. If one of the robots outputs actions that negatively impact the other robots, those robots may seek to adjust the output of the offending robot. Punishment is one way of reprogramming offending robots so that their output is more positive.

That's what we're doing, and it works to some degree. This is how punishment works without the invocation of responsibility. We like to justify our punishments with all sorts of fancy rationalizations about holding people responsible for their actions, but in the end it's simply a practical means of behavior modification.

We re-program the offending robots for the benefit of all.

I think there is a sense of fair play, if it is offended it demands satisfaction.  I have heard of other primates sharing the feeling.  I don't have a link, but observe supporters of any team watching a game.  Robots don't raise children for decades, keep photo's of them at age three on their desks for ever, and when they hear of a mother who has lost her child under the wheels of a car, I doubt they shed a tear.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: JohnCR on January 29, 2011, 04:23:05 PM
Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"I think there is a sense of fair play, if it is offended it demands satisfaction.  I have heard of other primates sharing the feeling.  I don't have a link, but observe supporters of any team watching a game.  Robots don't raise children for decades, keep photo's of them at age three on their desks for ever, and when they hear of a mother who has lost her child under the wheels of a car, I doubt they shed a tear.

That assumes a very narrow definition of robot. The analogy here is that we are completely mechanistic and our actions are dictated by a combination of our programming and input.


Quote from: "hackenslash"Then we fundamentally disagree. I thought I'd made myself clear on this point, but apparently not. I think we certainly can shape our own futures, but not completely unconstrained.

I'm sorry, I went back and reread your post. I remembered seeing "free will is an illusion" but then I realize that you added to that by saying that we still maintain the ability to choose. I don't agree that quantum uncertainty would give us free will (my definition of free will corresponding to your definition of "will"). I don't see how something in our brains being random can translate into choices. Maybe you can elaborate?
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: RyB17 on January 29, 2011, 04:55:46 PM
I feel free will isn't actually "free". Our actions will result in consequences we must "pay" for. I believe free will is an illusion as mentioned previously. Free will is a great idea but MOST people's morals and conscience will filter out any actions that will affect them negatively.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 29, 2011, 07:02:01 PM
Quote from: "dloubet"
Quote from: "Wilson"but in every meaningful way he has free will.

No, he has will, but it's not in any way free. We are each born with a nature that we did not choose, and can only act according to that nature. We are trapped by the imposed  natures that define us. There's no way around it, and you can't second-guess it. You can't decide to change your nature without that being a consequence of...your nature.

Quote from: "Wilson"in order to have a civilized, safe, fair society, we need to punish.

We are robots. We take in data, and output actions. If one of the robots outputs actions that negatively impact the other robots, those robots may seek to adjust the output of the offending robot. Punishment is one way of reprogramming offending robots so that their output is more positive.

That's what we're doing, and it works to some degree. This is how punishment works without the invocation of responsibility. We like to justify our punishments with all sorts of fancy rationalizations about holding people responsible for their actions, but in the end it's simply a practical means of behavior modification.

We re-program the offending robots for the benefit of all.

Will, free will - let's argue ideas, not semantics.  I agree with most of what you wrote.  The point is that we can and do make decisions, and that ability is so far removed from quantum uncertainty that it's almost silly to say that we aren't making those choices - freely, but not completely freely.

I do think we are a lot like robots, as you suggest.  But since robots imply an intelligent builder, I prefer to think of us as colonies of cells.  Don't forget that evolution gave most of us a desire for fair play and pleasure in exacting revenge, along with a certain degree of compassion, even for those who offend society.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Wilson on January 29, 2011, 07:25:10 PM
Quote from: "Asmodean"A law would not stop a sociopath, nor would fear of punishment.  Laws prevent otherwise good guys from doing bad things. They do not prevent bad guys from doing them. At most, one can hope that the laws make it more difficult to commit crime, but one must not forget the ingenuity of a determined (would-be) criminal.
Nonsense.  Do you really think that serial rapists are not deterred at all from raping women, or thieves are not deterred at all from stealing, or embezzlers are not deterred at all from embezzling, by the fear of punishment?  That's crazy thinking.  If there was no punishment, those criminals would be brazenly committing atrocities all day long.  Take a nasty guy who enjoys beating up people.  He doesn't do it often because he doesn't want to go to jail, so he picks his spots.  If there were no consequences, he could walk down the street, pick someone at random, and assault him or her.  And he'd do it.  Give me a break!  Obviously the fear of punishment doesn't prevent all crime, but a society without laws would be brutish and horrible.  And laws have no power unless they involve punishment.

Quote
QuoteAlso because it feels good to hurt evildoers.
Making you no better than they. The lawful moral high ground based on crime and punishment is not really a high ground... You are sitting in a pile of dung. Just... Above theose who do not.
Speaking of dung, that's the quality of that logic.  Over here you have a group of good, decent people who treat each other with respect and follow the rules of society, but they do want to punish those who commit crimes.  On the other side, you have sociopaths - career criminals, mass murderers, child and spousal abusers - people with no conscience and no concern for others.  And you think those two groups are equally bad?  You have a screw loose.  No offense.

Incidentally, "making you no better than they" implies a moral judgment, making you no better than a rapist.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Stevil on January 29, 2011, 09:23:48 PM
Preventative Detention is a great thing. Hard for people to commit crimes on society when they are locked up.

I get pissed off when people get let off crimes because the lawyers can point to a reason e.g. temporary insanity etc.
There is always a reason, it is not that the person's soul is inherently evil. But I say lock'em up anyway. Do the crime, pay the time!
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: hackenslash on January 29, 2011, 11:14:04 PM
Quote from: "JohnCR"I don't agree that quantum uncertainty would give us free will (my definition of free will corresponding to your definition of "will"). I don't see how something in our brains being random can translate into choices. Maybe you can elaborate?

It's not that quantum uncertainty gives us free will, per se, it's simply that quantum uncertainty rules out determinism.

Stepping outside the realm of standard QM for a moment, though, quantum indeterminacy, if having any influence on our neural processes, would mean that our decisions cannot be deterministic, which certainly leaves the door open for free will in that sense. Incidentally, the aforementioned study suggesting that our decisions are registered before we are conscious of them does not affect that point, it only demonstrates that our decisions are often made subconsciously. This in no way paints them as predetermined in any broader sense.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: dloubet on January 31, 2011, 04:42:58 AM
Even if quantum uncertainty did not directly affect our neuronal activity, circumstances still provide the data upon which we make our decisions. Since quantum indeterminacy affects that data, our purely mechanical decisions must still reflect that indeterminacy.

And lest anyone think that quantum events are puny, just imagine how your life would be different if even one key historical figure died of cancer before they could perform their key historical act. A cancer caused by a single atom decaying in the wrong place at the wrong time. Quantum events can have profound effects.

The decisions I'm making today would be entirely different if Abraham Lincoln had died as a child. I most likely would not even exist.

The future is open.
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: dloubet on January 31, 2011, 05:18:08 AM
Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"We are conceived with a nature, develop it in utero, as children and so on, well what is the alternative, some angel touches you on the lip at birth and imbues with some godly purpose?

There is no alternative. Why should there be? Circumstances equip us with a nature we do not choose. That's simply the way it is. I can't see how it could be any other way.

Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"When determinism is used to make life seem constricted I have to reject it as dysfunctional.

That does not mean it's not true, does it? I mean I can see ignoring that the universe might be deterministic and embracing the illusion that we have free will for simply practical reasons. The knowledge that our decisions may be purely mechanical does not help inform those decisions, and may in fact be detrimental to making them. Indeed, I treat the universe as if I have free will, but I still know intellectually that it's just a helpful illusion.

Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"I am here an I can make choices.

Yes. You can make choices. We all can. So can my iPhone. It's the free part that's the illusion.

Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"I think there is a sense of fair play, if it is offended it demands satisfaction.

Absolutely. That's part of our programming. It's why we seek to alter the behavior of those that violate that programming.

Quote from: "The Magic Pudding"Robots don't raise children for decades, keep photo's of them at age three on their desks for ever, and when they hear of a mother who has lost her child under the wheels of a car, I doubt they shed a tear.

Since we are robots, that's exactly what some robots do. We are robots made of meat, evolved over billions of years. How should we behave?

Unless there's some supernatural magical power involved, we have to be robots. We have to be machines. Our cogs and gears are the molecules that make us. They're the same molecules that make chimpanzees, lizards, and bugs. They're the same molecules and atoms that form the cogs and gears of the molecular machine called a virus. It's machines all the way down.

We are machines capable of love and hate, happiness and suffering. Robots granted by circumstance the ability to discover their origins and march into an open future.

Not bad for meat-puppets, eh?
Title: Re: Any good arguments in favor of free will?
Post by: Will37 on May 08, 2011, 09:01:01 AM
Quote from: JohnCR on January 28, 2011, 01:05:00 AM
I think I would be happier if I believed in free will again, but I have yet to hear any good arguments in favor of it. However, I don't want to delude myself into believing something that is false either.

So you want somebody to convince you that you have free will?  I want an argument so that you can choose to believe in free will again?


You see what I'm getting at?