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Oooh, conspiracy theories!

Started by Filanthropod, July 02, 2010, 11:14:32 PM

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Filanthropod

Just a simple question. Is the number of people who believe in so called conspiracy theories increasing, or decreasing. If you think it's increasing, please say why, and likewise if you think it's decreasing. This isn't so much a discussion about whether or not they're true, but more of a discussion on the popularity of these so called conspiracy theories.

My view :

I think it's increasing fast. I'm not sure exactly why, but one very possible reason could be that many people feel that the mainstream media doesn't tell them the truth, or the full picture, or either. When 911 happened, the mainstream parroted bin laden's name over and over again, right from day one, and the effect that this has on people is that they automatically take it for granted. Repetition has that effect. Repetition has that effect. Repetition has that effect.

Non-mainstream media is not generally passive, meaning that you can turn on the tv or the radio or buy a newspaper and get the mainstream view, but if you want other views you generally have to seek them. The fact that the number of people who are seeking these other views, even despite the fact that it's not passive like the mainstream, shows that the feeling that the mainstream is not telling the truth is very strong.

The Black Jester

Without having done any extensive sampling of the general public, I can hardly speak about more than my immediate circle, but your idea is interesting. The popularity of self-styled "alternative" viewpoints in the news does lend itself to this idea, particularly, it seems, within conservative groups in certain areas of the country (and also extreme liberal groups in other areas).  My own, admittedly entirely gut, suspicion is that this likely coorelates with economic difficulty.  When times are hard, people look for reasons, they're angry and afraid, they look for scape-goats, and they are more likely to give credence to theories that provide them.  I've never personally felt that any news outlet, whatever its flavor, provides the unvarnished truth.  That's not their job, nor is it in their best interests.  Their job is to sell commercial spots.  And the more loudly they proclaim their lack of "bias," the more suspicious I am of their motives.
The Black Jester

"Religion is institutionalised superstition, science is institutionalised curiosity." - Tank

"Confederation of the dispossessed,
Fearing neither god nor master." - Killing Joke

http://theblackjester.wordpress.com

Whitney

I don't think the people I interact with on a daily basis are a good enough sampling of society to paint a good picture of what percentage is currently having a love affair with conspiracy theories.  I did notice that the 9/11 attack sparked conspiracy theories that a lot of people bought into, even those who would normally be slow to entertain such theories as true; however, that seems to have lost popularity now.

Personally, find conspiracy theories interesting from time to time but much in the same way that I would enjoy a movie.

Big Mac

I've dealt with a LOT of conspiracy folks. The biggest problem I find with each one is that they seem to suffer from some sort of mental health issue more often than not. Like Whitney said, I myself do not have a large enough sample to really classify them but my observation has been they seem to have their heads in a cloud most of the time.

I knew a guy who honestly thought we never landed on the moon. When I pointed out that the Soviets had the same level of tech to track the Apollo 11 mission and would have gleefully  pointed out what flipping fraud it was (if the conspiracy were true) he did mental gymnastics. First it was that we sent a decoy up into space.

I countered with if we can send a decoy why not be able to send men up there as well.

Then he goes on to claim that we live in the Matrix in the sense that the governments we see are false and that there is a one world government that uses the UN as its puppet.

He also was big into the Chemtrails (not a misspelling) that planes were supposedly pumping into the sky for some nefarious purpose. My points I'd bring up were as followed:

1.) These chemicals would be indiscriminate on who they affected and would also probably disperse so much they'd lose all potential to do anything.

2.) What purpose would it serve to poison the population at such a large scale?

3.) Planes fly at a higher altitude than they did several decades ago so contrails would be longer-lasting due to the thinner air (I could be wrong on this point but it seems a lot more logical than an evil NWO plot...).

I basically would hit a wall every time I would debate him because he would pull of the "You're still trapped in the Matrix!" nonsense like a bleating sheep. This would consistently occur when I pointed out the many holes in the conspiracy theories he'd bring up. Reminds me of the evangelical christians who bemoan the fact you're not buying the crap they're slinging.

You see a lot of these people in Austin because this is the base of operations for Alex Jones. Anyone interested in a good laugh should go to infowars.com and watch a few of his videos. The guy seems off his rocker in my opinion.
Quote from: "PoopShoot"And what if pigs shit candy?

TheJackel

My conspiracy theory is that anyone with too much power will conspire to maintain that power.. It's interesting when you look into today's Proxy wars to which are generally waged vs open war. It seems open war only envelopes when the risks not to declare war are greater than losing the proxy wars. But for fun, are those Russian's really spies or just made up propaganda to distract from the failures, and agenda's by those in power? The funny thing about conspiracy is that it's always in play somewhere in government, or the world. :)























































 :satan:

Tank

If religions were TV channels atheism is turning the TV off.
"Religion is a culture of faith; science is a culture of doubt." ― Richard P. Feynman
'It is said that your life flashes before your eyes just before you die. That is true, it's called Life.' - Terry Pratchett
Remember, your inability to grasp science is not a valid argument against it.

Caecilian

QuoteA paranoid is someone who knows a little of what's going on.
William Burroughs

Thumpalumpacus

The only conspiracy I've seen pull traction is JFK's murder.  No one I know, at least, cares enough to bring the others up.

Quote from: "Jack"We will all eventually realize our irrelevance in the big picture we call existence, for we are only tenants waiting to be evicted. This is my prophecy ....

I'm not sure what to make of a nihilist prophet.   :D
Illegitimi non carborundum.

Squid

Quote from: "Thumpalumpacus"
Quote from: "Jack"We will all eventually realize our irrelevance in the big picture we call existence, for we are only tenants waiting to be evicted. This is my prophecy ....

I'm not sure what to make of a nihilist prophet.   lol

reed9

Assuming there is an increase in the belief of conspiracy theories, I agree that there is probably a correlation with economic hardship.

There's definitely a lot of them out there and they do seem to have some wide acceptance.  I've recently discovered that AIDS denialism is still alive and well...I was a bit shocked.

I've been regularly running into the following:

HIV/AIDS denial.

9/11 truthers

Anti-vaxxers (I'm tempted to lump in all the various fear mongering against "western" medicine.)

The fluoride-in-our-water conspiracy.  (Does this have a shorthand name?)

On the plus side, while the Birthers still seem active, the whole death panels thing seems to have petered out.

karadan

There must be some conspiracy's out there which have a basis in fact. To hypothesise about them would be an exercise in futility, though. I prefer to leave the questions unanswered.

For instance, even though I believe the 9/11 attacks to be cut-and-dry terrorism, there are still a few oddities. The hole in the side of the pentagon still doesn't look large enough to have been a passenger aircraft and given the plethora of cameras in that vicinity, am doubtful that single frame grainy image is the only one which exists of the event.

I believe there is an enormous conspiracy behind the goings-on leading up to the Iraq war in the British government. I don't want to speculate as to what, though, as I have no real facts. Some of that shit was far too convenient for Blair.

I guess for every conspiracy out there, there are hundreds if not thousands of secrets no one will ever hear about.
QuoteI find it mistifying that in this age of information, some people still deny the scientific history of our existence.

reed9

Quote from: "karadan"There must be some conspiracy's out there which have a basis in fact. To hypothesise about them would be an exercise in futility, though. I prefer to leave the questions unanswered.

For instance, even though I believe the 9/11 attacks to be cut-and-dry terrorism, there are still a few oddities. The hole in the side of the pentagon still doesn't look large enough to have been a passenger aircraft and given the plethora of cameras in that vicinity, am doubtful that single frame grainy image is the only one which exists of the event.

Well, yes, there have clearly been instances where we've discovered a real "conspiracy", the Tuskegee experiments come to mind, and there is no way to say there isn't an undiscovered conspiracy out there.  It's the way you go about presenting your arguments and dealing with what evidence there is that distinguishes the conspiracy theorist or denialist from a rational dissident.

I would say the two most common logical fallacies committed by the conspiracy theorist are 1) impossible expectations and 2)  arguments from ignorance.

With 9/11, for example, sure there are problems with the official report, there are questions that may never be answered.  But just because we don't know everything, doesn't mean we know nothing.  As with any hypothesis, we choose the one that best explains the evidence, and given competing hypotheses, we choose the simpler.  There is nothing in the buildings' collapse that is inconsistent with the planes crashing into the buildings, as has been explained in detail by articles in Popular Mechanics, for example.

The 9/11 truthers tend to argue that we can't reasonable conclude it was not an inside job, because we don't have all the facts (impossible expectations), and that leads to the argument that the gaps in our knowledge are evidence of an inside job (argument from ignorance).  Well, we'll never have all the facts about anything, but we have enough facts to come to a reasonable conclusion.  Future evidence could change our minds.

Thumpalumpacus

One could calculate how many frames should show the Pentagon attacker by knowing the speed of the airplane, the distance  from the camera and flight path, and the frame rate of the camera.
Illegitimi non carborundum.

Tank

Interesting the this was Fils penultimate post. Maybe he left it here just to cause discordance within the users, just sayin'  :D
If religions were TV channels atheism is turning the TV off.
"Religion is a culture of faith; science is a culture of doubt." ― Richard P. Feynman
'It is said that your life flashes before your eyes just before you die. That is true, it's called Life.' - Terry Pratchett
Remember, your inability to grasp science is not a valid argument against it.

Caecilian

Quote from: "Tank"Interesting the this was Fils penultimate post. Maybe he left it here just to cause discordance within the users, just sayin'  :eek:

Filanthropod is probably not a human being at all- I reckon he's an alien reptile in human form, just like Obama. What him and his extra-dimensional cronies are up to is this: they're gonna use the UN to establish a New World Order with a restored Merovingian dynasty at the helm. Then they'll re-establish the Knights Templar, and force through world-wide fluoridation of the drinking water. Its fiendish!

But don't worry, folks. Jesus is coming back soon, and he has the Hidden Masters of Tibet and the UFOs on his side. The NWO will be overthrown, and the lion will lie down with the lamb.  :hail: