Hello, Dredge. In regard to your assertions about mathematical probability, I'd like to see your working out. That is, show the basis for your maths--how do you derive the parameters. Then show what calculations you've performed. Talk is cheap.Any "first simple cell" would need to reproduce in order for the species to survive. Do you imagine the reproduction of a cell would be a simple process? I don't. Is there any evidence that cell reproduction is anything but extremely complex? Not a bit.
And let's not forget that a cell cannot form piecemeal - a chaotic mess of molecules must form a living orgaism very quickly, then it must reproduce before it dies (within a few hours). I wonder how all the cell's internal components manages to get inside a 100%-intact cell wall (since a less-than-100%-intact cell wall spells death).
There are of course many other functions that a cell must perform in order to survive. Which one of them is simple?
A "simple cell" is as oxymoronic as a "simple computer" - no such thing exists or could ever exist - except as a fantasy in self-deluded minds of atheists.
One of my resolutions for this year, well not so much a resolution, butt more of a guide to self-preservation and better management of my time is not get involved in on-line arguments with folks who believe the following (Mind you now this isn't a complete list)
Flat-Earth Society Believers
Conspiracy Theorists (You know the moon hoaxer, or 9/11 Truther types )
Racists (This would included Holocaust Deniers, Free Speech Racists, Fetishizing Racists, Color-Blind Racists, Not-All-White People and Hipster Racists, Apologetic Racists, All-Lives Matter Dickheads, Trump Supporters, etc...)
Evolution is Just a Theory Types
Terrible Argument Misogynistic Asshole Types
Those Freaks who Think the sounds generated by the group Abba account somehow for music (I know, you're like c'mon Bruno this is 2017 surely such people don't exists anymore, butt I assure you they do)
Butt I'm going to go ahead and give it a whirl just for the heck of it, even if you do seem to be trolling.
It doesn’t appear that just life suddenly started, or even that evolution began after life first appeared; which is usually stated as an argument against the origin of life itself. Most likely evolution was/is part of the process the moment a single molecule formed that was capable of replicating itself.
And if such a self-replicating molecule were to be found today I doubt or don’t think anyone would classify such a simple molecule as alive, so it begs the question is such an event actually “Life from non-life’? This seems to me to be inappropriate, I don’t really see a hard line between the two.
Also, such events are probably not at all uncommon, and has happened a great many times. Who knows the number of life linages that were created over-time? Or that this isn't occurring even now all over the universe.
When we examine DNA it shows only one of those lineages fostered all surviving lifeforms that we have today, all the others simply lost the race, butt what a fucking race it must have been!
Anyway I’m not a scientist, only a self-deluded atheist. However; I can say that the only thing approaching fantasy is the belief that some magical, supernatural being created it all. The belief in supernatural beings is in fact the very “Primordial make-believe ooze" the world of fantasy is made out of.
P.S. Sorry to lump you/creationists in with all the other deplorables, butt meh', that's the way it is. After all you believe in the whole silly flood and ark thing, not to mention talking snakes, the Tower of Babel, etc...